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Shaper

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Date of registration: Dec 30th 2010

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Monday, December 12th 2011, 2:34pm

Resistance estimation guide

Hi everyone,



in this guide we will show how to evaluate the worth for the various sums (from sum1 to sum6) of gloves or boots.



Let's say you have a nice sum5 sea view glove that you want to sell. You know that in making the sum5, you needed to combine 6 individual gloves, with a 50% probability of success. So, you know the price for your sum5 should at least be the price of 6 individual gloves. But how much is it really worth? Is it worth 8 times the price of 1 glove, or 10 times, or 12 times, or 18 times ?



The way to do this is to divide the cost per try for combining (so 6 gloves here per try), with the probability of success

in decimal number (which is 50% = 0.50 here). This gives us 6 / 0.50 = 12 gloves! So a sum5 glove really is worth 12 individual gloves. (Actually a bit more

if you consider the money and sand of dona cost at malcom for combining). So if you sell your sum5 gloves at 15 times the price of an individual glove, you will make a profit, while if you sell at 9 times the price of 1 glove, you will lose money.





Now, here are the calculations for each of the various sums (and if you just want the results, skip to the end):





For a sum1, you bring 2 gloves/boots at malcom, and since you have 100% probability of success, that means it is worth 2 gloves/boots.



For a sum2, you bring 3 gloves/boots at malcom, you make a sum1 with 2 of them with 100% and then add the other one, all with 100% probability of success.

That means it is worth 3 gloves/boots.



For a sum3, you bring 4 gloves/boots at malcom, combine them in two sum1s (with 100% prob. of success), and then combine those together.

The last combination has 85% of success, so that means it is worth 4 / 0.85 = 4.7 gloves/boots.



For a sum4, you bring 5 gloves/boots at malcom, you first combine them in a sum2 (using 3 gloves/boots), and a sum1 (using 2 gloves/boots). Then, you combine those

together, with a 70% probability of success, so a sum4 is worth 5 / 0.70 = 7.1 gloves/boots.



For a sum5, you bring 6 gloves/boots at malcom, combine them in 2 sum2s. Then, you combine them together with 50% of success, so a sum5 is worth 6 / 0.50 = 12 gloves/boots.



For a sum6, you bring 7 gloves/boots at malcom and combine them in a sum3 and a sum2. We saw earlier that a sum3 is worth 4.7 gloves/boots, while a sum2 is worth 3 gloves/boots. So the sum3 and sum2 are worth 4.7 + 3 = 7.7 gloves/boots. Afterwards, you combine those two in a sum6, with 20% probability of success. That

means that a sum6 is worth 7.7 / 0.20 = 38.5 gloves/boots.









So here are again the results:





Combination ------ Worth

----------------------------

Sum0 ------------- 1 glove/boot

Sum1 ------------- 2 gloves/boots

Sum2 ------------- 3 gloves/boots

Sum3 ------------- 4.7 gloves/boots

Sum4 ------------- 7.1 gloves/boots

Sum5 ------------- 12 gloves/boots

Sum6 ------------- 38.5 gloves/boots





That's all! You can use these numbers to know also if you should buy an already combined glove, or if you should buy the individual gloves and sum them yourself. If you see a sum5 sea view gloves listed at 5m, and the individual gloves listed at 250k, check how many gloves is worth a sum5 and then compare the prices. Since a sum5 is worth 12 gloves, you can expect to spend 12* 250k = 3m in making your glove. Thus, you would save money by buying the individual gloves and combining them yourself, instead of buying the one at 5m.